Lemon Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 (edited) I got bored, so I decided to get % chance at ROCT drops. So assuming that I didn't make any stupid mistakes and that Ultima uses the same file I have. Reward 71.00% photon drop 04.35% Yasmikov 9000m 02.90% Samba Maracas 02.90% Earth Wand: Brownie 02.90% Valkyrie 02.90% Yasha 02.90% Red Sword 02.90% Evil Curst 02.90% Nug2000-Bazooka 04.35% Raikiri Attribute Amount 03% 85 06% 80 05% 75 05% 70 05% 65 05% 60 05% 55 05% 50 05% 45 05% 40 05% 35 05% 30 05% 25 05% 20 10% 15 10% 10 11% 5 Attribute 16% Hit 16% Dark 16% Machine 16% A-Beast 16% Native 20% None Edited February 28, 2017 by Lemon 6 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mudkipzjm Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 Does someone want to do the calculation on the probability of getting 85 hit yas? 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pishion Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 (edited) yas 1/23 then hit chance then hit chance its 20/125 (1/6.25) then 1/34 with 85 hit so 23*6.25*34 = 1/5083 or 1/144 any hit % i was not made to math stuff Edited February 28, 2017 by pishion Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciaz Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 just to decimals, its easier XD 0.02088% 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemon Posted February 28, 2017 Author Share Posted February 28, 2017 (edited) 30 minutes ago, mudkipzjm said: Does someone want to do the calculation on the probability of getting 85 hit yas? 0.02088% = 100 * (0.0435 (yas) * 0.03 (85 value) * 0.16 (hit attribute)) EDIT: Found real value at 261/1250000. Though 13/62500 is easier to read and is fairly close. Haha Sciaz beat me as I did the fractional part ^__^ Edited March 1, 2017 by Lemon 2 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciaz Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 14 minutes ago, Sciaz said: just to decimals, its easier XD 0.02088% 13 minutes ago, Lemon said: 0.02088% = 100 * (0.0435 (yas) * 0.03 (85 value) * 0.16 (hit attribute)) but the short answer is.... you have a better chance at winning the lottery 1 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
radezz Posted February 28, 2017 Share Posted February 28, 2017 .0000001 if youre Marcia. if not, then 0 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
pishion Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 5 minutes ago, Sciaz said: but the short answer is.... you have a better chance at winning the lottery well if you revive my grandpa you can ask him he won it twice xD Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciaz Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 12 minutes ago, pishion said: well if you revive my grandpa you can ask him he won it twice xD time to start studying necromancy 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
mudkipzjm Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 I dunno I got a 85 hit yas last summer event, but I swear I haven't seen anyone get one since then. 3 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciaz Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 highest I've gotten is 45hit, sadly that was elsewhere Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Yannv Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 (edited) . Edited December 9, 2019 by Noob Saibot Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Sciaz Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 (edited) then the really fun one 3 stats 85 0.0000004810752% NUG is in an entirely different league with chances though Edited March 1, 2017 by Sciaz Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
CCastles93 Posted March 1, 2017 Share Posted March 1, 2017 youd have better luck farming a 85+ hit Yasmkinkov 9k from Crimson Assassins in ep2 if you think about exactly how many hours it would take if you reached 4700+ runs of roct(even if you dual logged) without finding one Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
Lemon Posted March 1, 2017 Author Share Posted March 1, 2017 5 hours ago, Sciaz said: then the really fun one 3 stats 85 0.0000004810752% NUG is in an entirely different league with chances though Roct only gives 1stat weapons as far as I could tell. 1 Quote Link to comment Share on other sites More sharing options...
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